Market Analysis

GOLD

GOLD prices continue to surge, bolstered by the escalating US-China trade tensions. While the White House announced tariff exclusions on Friday, Trump clarified over the weekend that these exclusions would be short-lived—particularly for smartphones and computers. This signals that the broader reciprocal tariff measures remain in effect and will resume in full if no progress is made during the 90-day pause.

From a technical perspective, the MACD shows increasing selling volume even as prices rise—an early sign of healthy bullish continuation, typically seen in strong uptrends. Meanwhile, the RSI remains high but is recovering from near overbought levels, suggesting sustained buying interest. Overall, GOLD is expected to remain in favor as geopolitical uncertainty and trade risks persist, with key economic indicators pointing to potential further upward movement.

SILVER

SILVER has flipped bullish after breaking above the EMA200. Both the MACD and RSI confirm this shift, showing rising bullish volume and momentum. The correlation between GOLD and SILVER continues to guide sentiment: as long as SILVER stays relatively suppressed while GOLD soars, it suggests that GOLD’s rally is sustainable. Once SILVER starts gaining rapidly, it often signals that GOLD is becoming overextended. Furthermore, Dollar weakness continues to fuel strength in precious metals overall, reinforcing the need for careful trade timing when entering positions.

DXY (US Dollar Index)

The Dollar remains under pressure, with economic indicators reflecting growing bearish momentum. The MACD shows rising selling volume, while the RSI consistently tags overbought levels despite falling prices, indicating increased bearish momentum. With trade war tensions persisting and inflation risks looming, further Dollar weakness is likely in the medium term. As the full impact of these dynamics plays out, breakout entries in USD pairs may present more favorable opportunities.

GBPUSD

The Pound is strengthening, supported by positive technicals. The MACD and RSI show rising bullish volume and momentum, driven largely by Dollar weakness. While near-term consolidation is possible, the broader momentum favors continued upside. We remain bullish unless a clear structural reversal occurs, suggesting potential trade timing opportunities for traders.

AUDUSD

The Aussie Dollar reflects continued bullish pressure. Both the MACD and RSI confirm rising momentum and volume. However, this strength appears to be driven more by Dollar weakness than by strong domestic fundamentals. Despite the upside bias, we remain cautious and prefer to trade conservatively until the price confirms broader stability. This presents potential breakout entries but requires caution.

NZDUSD

The Kiwi is showing a similar pattern to the Aussie Dollar, with both the MACD and RSI indicating bullish alignment. While short-term pullbacks may occur, the broader bias remains upward. Like the AUDUSD, this movement is tied to global Dollar sentiment rather than independent strength. Watch for trade timing that aligns with market shifts to capture potential gains.

EURUSD

The Euro remains firm, extending its gains as confirmed by increasing bullish volume and momentum on both the MACD and RSI. While a retracement could occur to test key support levels, the overall trend remains bullish. We continue to look for buying opportunities, considering trade timing to optimize entry points.

USDJPY

The Yen is gaining strength as investors seek safe-haven assets amid Dollar volatility. The MACD and RSI reflect increased bearish momentum on USD/JPY. However, we remain cautious and prefer to wait for a clearer directional breakout, as safe-haven dynamics can be short-lived or reverse suddenly depending on global developments. Breakout entries are advised once momentum shifts decisively.

USDCHF

The Swiss Franc continues its bearish movement against the Dollar. Both the MACD and RSI signal increasing selling momentum, supporting expectations for continued downside. Despite potential short-term retracements, we maintain a cautious outlook and will look for pullbacks as opportunities to re-enter bearish positions.

USDCAD

The Canadian Dollar is showing increased bearish momentum, with CAD strength dominating as USD weakens. The MACD and RSI show no signs of reversal, favoring continuation of the trend. As long as the Dollar remains under pressure and trade dynamics worsen, we continue to look for short opportunities in this market.

COT Report Analysis

Here’s the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) outlook, helping reinforce the directional bias:

• AUD – WEAK (3/5)
  
• GBP – WEAK (5/5)
  
• CAD – WEAK (4/5)
  
• EUR – STRONG (5/5)
  
• JPY – STRONG (5/5)
  
• CHF – WEAK (3/5)
  
• USD – STRONG (4/5)
  
• NZD – WEAK (4/5)
  
• GOLD – STRONG (4/5)
  
• SILVER – STRONG (4/5)
  

Use these ratings to guide trade timing and identify optimal breakout entries across currency pairs. The dynamic shifts in the market require constant monitoring to maximize profits.

Final Thoughts

The gold, silver, and forex market analysis amid the trade tensions indicate key trade timing opportunities. With geopolitical risks and Dollar weakness at play, the market presents significant potential for profitable breakout entries. By keeping a close eye on economic indicators and adjusting for global shifts, traders can position themselves strategically for favorable movements in the forex market.

Stay alert for real-time updates and continue refining your trade strategies based on the evolving market dynamics.