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Gold Slips on Trade Optimism, Dollar Extends Bullish Run

Market Analysis

GOLD

Gold prices are under pressure as optimism rises around U.S.-China trade negotiations. The Trump administration has hinted at “substantial” progress, and although Beijing echoed the sentiment, concrete terms have yet to emerge. News of a U.S.-U.K. trade deal and a reduced tariff proposal (from 140% to 80%) have also boosted global risk appetite, diminishing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

Technically, MACD reflects strong bearish momentum, and RSI is tightening near neutral levels after a bounce from oversold territory. While the price broke below the EMA200 and consolidation support, the key 3260.22 level is holding. We maintain a cautiously optimistic view unless that level breaks decisively. For traders focused on forex trade execution speed, this is a pivotal level to watch for rapid shifts in momentum.

SILVER

Silver remains in consolidation. MACD is not supporting bullish volume, while the RSI shows slight upward movement but lacks strong confirmation. Unless RSI reaches oversold or the price breaks out, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.

This is a wait-and-see setup. Traders should rely on trading signal indicators for breakout confirmation before positioning.

DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)

The Dollar gapped higher and maintains strong bullish momentum. MACD confirms strength, and RSI has reset from overbought conditions, allowing more upside potential.

While gap fills are always a possibility, current sentiment and momentum suggest continued bullish action. Traders employing precise market entry should trail stops closely in case of a pullback, but bias remains bullish.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD continues to consolidate with a slight lean toward the downside. The Pound has struggled for direction despite improving U.S. sentiment and mixed U.K. fundamentals.

MACD and RSI support further bearish action, though not yet confirmed. We remain neutral but lean bearish until structure shifts. Optimal trade timing here depends on confirmation of a breakout below range support.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD is rolling over after rejection at the EMA200. The MACD shows weakening bullish potential, and RSI nears overbought levels, supporting a bearish bias.

Unless a surprise structural recovery occurs, downside continuation appears likely. Traders should watch for a clean break below recent lows and use forex entry strategy techniques like breakout-retest confirmation.

NZD/USD

NZD/USD attempted a short-term rise but remains structurally bearish. Resistance at 0.59288 has capped the rally, and indicators support renewed selling.

  • MACD: Shows buying, but not enough strength
  • RSI: Near overbought

We maintain a bearish view unless a breakout invalidates resistance. This pair favors short setups with tight risk control and rapid trade execution speed.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD is weakening further, with MACD showing rising sell volume. RSI has normalized, providing room for more downside.

As momentum builds, we prefer short trades, especially below structural support. Use trading signal indicators to confirm continuation.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY is rising, driven by improved risk sentiment and fading demand for the Yen. The MACD and RSI both support continued upside.

With the safe-haven role of the Yen declining, this pair is expected to climb further. Entries on pullbacks provide high-reward opportunities for trend followers.

USD/CHF

USD/CHF has broken out of consolidation and is moving upward. The MACD and RSI confirm the bullish outlook, though a gap fill remains possible.

We favor bullish setups, but monitor for signs of reversal near resistance. Precise market entry and dynamic risk management will be key.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD has broken from consolidation and is gaining strength as the U.S. Dollar rallies. Trade optimism and oil volatility are weakening the CAD.

Both MACD and RSI support continued upside. Forex trade execution speed is essential for capturing momentum-driven moves in this pair.

COT Reports Analysis

  • AUD – WEAK (4/5)
  • GBP – STRONG (5/5)
  • CAD – WEAK (5/5)
  • EUR – STRONG (4/5)
  • JPY – STRONG (5/5)
  • CHF – WEAK (3/5)
  • USD – MIXED
  • NZD – WEAK (3/5)
  • GOLD – STRONG (3/5)
  • SILVER – STRONG (5/5)

Final Thoughts

With renewed optimism in trade negotiations and hawkish tones from the Fed, the U.S. Dollar is gaining strength while Gold and Silver experience pressure. Most major pairs are reacting to the shifting sentiment with breakouts or reversals, creating high-momentum setups across the board.

This is a time to stay nimble. Use your forex trade execution speed, rely on validated trading signal indicators, and align entries with confirmed structures to capture directional moves in this fast-evolving market environment.

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